Pre-tourney Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#216
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#233
Pace62.5#276
Improvement-1.7#245

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#102
Improvement+2.0#82

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#317
Improvement-3.7#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 274   Hampton W 69-51 75%     1 - 0 +8.0 -1.1 +9.6
  Nov 12, 2012 269   @ Liberty W 71-59 50%     2 - 0 +9.0 -3.9 +13.1
  Nov 17, 2012 220   @ High Point W 83-61 39%     3 - 0 +21.9 +12.8 +9.7
  Nov 21, 2012 239   Miami (OH) L 59-72 67%     3 - 1 -20.7 -16.1 -4.8
  Nov 23, 2012 127   @ Wake Forest L 57-63 20%     3 - 2 -0.2 -7.1 +6.4
  Nov 28, 2012 82   @ Richmond L 78-86 2OT 13%     3 - 3 +1.0 -3.1 +5.1
  Dec 01, 2012 276   Old Dominion W 71-62 75%     4 - 3 1 - 0 -1.1 -2.4 +2.0
  Dec 06, 2012 327   Howard W 78-69 87%     5 - 3 -6.4 +9.9 -15.6
  Dec 08, 2012 297   @ Radford W 60-55 60%     6 - 3 -0.7 -8.1 +7.7
  Dec 29, 2012 73   @ Purdue L 66-73 11%     6 - 4 +3.3 +1.4 +1.7
  Jan 02, 2013 84   @ Vanderbilt L 50-64 13%     6 - 5 -5.1 -8.9 +1.7
  Jan 05, 2013 145   George Mason L 66-73 46%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -8.9 -2.9 -6.5
  Jan 09, 2013 169   @ Towson L 86-99 2OT 28%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -9.9 -3.6 -3.5
  Jan 12, 2013 293   @ Hofstra L 59-70 58%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -16.2 -3.1 -14.7
  Jan 16, 2013 191   @ Georgia St. L 58-74 31%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -14.0 -9.2 -6.9
  Jan 19, 2013 174   Drexel L 48-59 53%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -14.8 -10.6 -7.7
  Jan 23, 2013 178   @ Northeastern L 91-95 2OT 29%     6 - 11 1 - 6 -1.4 +3.8 -4.6
  Jan 26, 2013 169   Towson W 63-56 51%     7 - 11 2 - 6 +3.6 -5.3 +9.6
  Jan 30, 2013 168   @ Delaware L 56-66 27%     7 - 12 2 - 7 -6.8 -12.6 +5.1
  Feb 02, 2013 293   Hofstra W 72-59 79%     8 - 12 3 - 7 +1.3 +12.0 -8.2
  Feb 06, 2013 182   @ James Madison L 71-81 30%     8 - 13 3 - 8 -7.7 +10.0 -19.0
  Feb 11, 2013 178   Northeastern L 64-68 53%     8 - 14 3 - 9 -7.9 +0.5 -9.3
  Feb 13, 2013 285   UNC Wilmington W 92-86 78%     9 - 14 4 - 9 -5.2 +13.4 -18.5
  Feb 16, 2013 276   @ Old Dominion W 74-62 52%     10 - 14 5 - 9 +8.4 +5.9 +3.6
  Feb 18, 2013 191   Georgia St. W 75-63 56%     11 - 14 6 - 9 +7.5 +10.1 -0.4
  Feb 23, 2013 145   @ George Mason L 58-60 23%     11 - 15 6 - 10 +2.6 -5.5 +7.8
  Feb 27, 2013 285   @ UNC Wilmington W 73-72 56%     12 - 15 7 - 10 -3.7 -2.0 -1.6
  Mar 02, 2013 182   James Madison L 67-69 54%     12 - 16 7 - 11 -6.1 -2.7 -3.5
  Mar 09, 2013 182   James Madison L 67-72 42%     12 - 17 -5.9 +2.8 -9.3
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%